Analysis Featured

Alternative Lending Goes Mainstream

Ever since the concept of alternative lending took hold in 2013, proponents have made substantive claims of what alternative data could achieve by bringing disadvantaged consumers into the lending economy. At the time, however, traditional models such as FICO and Vantage were the status quo. While recent versions of these scoring models now incorporate alternative data and provide some insight into consumers without complete credit files, acquiring this data has remained a challenge both for lenders and the credit bureaus.
Today, an estimated 45 to 60 million consumers lack the credit history needed to generate reliable credit scores under the current system, and millions more don’t have access to affordable credit because of low scores, according to FinRegLab, a nonprofit research organization.
But now, alternative lending is on the cusp of widespread adoption by lenders. In fact, some lenders are already considering alternative data, such as records of consumer payments from telecoms and utilities, in their decision to extend credit. And there’s solid evidence that alternative lending works. Research from McKinsey found that new alternative data models reduced credit losses in lower-income segments by 20 to 50%, while doubling application approval rates.
According to Accenture, bringing underbanked adults and small businesses into the formal banking sector could generate approximately $380 billion in new revenue. Equifax estimates that more than 91 million consumers in the U.S. alone are thin-file or no-file. About 22 million of those consumers currently qualify only for subprime credit offers, but that can change, with new data sources to inform risk models and the growth of alternative lending options.

Perhaps the best news is that lenders are embracing alternative lending after learning that they can bring disadvantaged consumers into their customer bases without increasing the risk of loan defaults. Those include thin-file or no-file consumers, such as:

  • Seniors who are unscorable, particularly widowed or divorced adults. Many have relied on lines of credit in their partner’s names for most of their lives, leaving them with a lack of credit history and a sudden lack of credit access.
  • Immigrants, who can present a conundrum to lenders, as their credit data does not immigrate with them. Lenders are left to make assumptions about credit history, and often the safer decision has been to exclude or decline the individual.
  • Minority groups, who today are disproportionately underserved. According to a LexisNexis study, 41% of Hispanics and African Americans were unscorable using traditional methods, compared to only 24% of the general population.
  • Millennials tend to rely on credit less frequently and a significant portion prefers debit cards. This leads to thin credit files and “hidden” financial transactions that do not help boost credit scores.  

Here is another proof point that alternative lending has arrived: Adding utility payment data into VantageScore’s credit score increased approval rates for low-income adults, African-Americans, and Hispanics by more than 20% – without overextending credit. 

Alternative data has become the Holy Grail for lenders because they can increase the size and improve the quality of their approvable populations. But, even with mountains of evidence of the viability of alternative lending, it may be that only the word of regulators has the power to move alternative lending from trend to a sustainable mainstream industry practice.

On Dec. 3, 2019, regulators backed the use of alternative data, such as borrowers’ cash flow, as an alternative to the traditional credit-evaluation system, which relies on applicants’ history of borrowing and repayments. Alternative data “may help firms evaluate the creditworthiness of consumers who currently may not obtain credit in the mainstream credit system,” the regulators said in a written statement. “To the extent, firms are using or contemplating using alternative data, the agencies encourage responsible use of such data.”

Now, with increasing adoption of alternative data by lenders, there comes word that “innovative” new options in lending will gain momentum. According to researchers, “It [alternative lending] has already gained momentum in developed countries. The growing significance of innovative lending practices is foreseen to put a positive impact on the growth of the global alternative lending market. Demand for peer-to-peer (P2P) marketplace lending and crowdfunding, in particular, is expected to increase in the near future. This could play a crucial role in the development of the global market.”

As always, the proof is in the numbers. In a recent report of more than 300 lenders by TransUnion, the agency said that “83% of adopters using alternative data to score credit applications report seeing tangible benefits.”

It’s been said that the best test of an innovation is to observe its acceptance and performance in the marketplace. By that measure, alternative lending has been thoroughly tested and is here to stay.

About the author: Sanjoy Malik; CEO, Urjanet

About the author

George Popescu

Serial entrepreneur.

George sold and exited his most successful company, Boston Technologies (BT) group, in 2014. BT was a technology, market maker, high-frequency trading and inter-broker broker-dealer in the FX Spot, precious metals and CFDs space company. George was the Founder and CEO and he boot-strapped from $0 to a $20+ million in revenue without any equity investment. BT has been #1 fastest growing company in Boston in 2011 according to the Boston Business Journal and the only company being in top 10 fastest in 2012-13 as it was #5 in 2012. BT has been on the Inc. 500/5000 list of fastest growing companies in the US for 4 years in a row ( #143, #373, #897 and #1270). After the company sale in July 2014 until February 2015 George was Head-of-Strategy for Currency Mountain ( www.currencymountain.com ), a USD 100 million+ holding company focused on retail and medium institutional currencies, precious metals, stocks, fixed income and commodities businesses.

• Over the last 10 years, George founded 10 companies in online lending, craft beer brewery, exotic sports car rental space, hedge funds, peer-reviewed scientific journal ( Journal of Cellular and Molecular medicine…) and more. George advised 30+ early stage start-ups in different fields. George was also a mentor at MIT’s Venture Mentoring Services and Techstar Fintech in NY.

• Previously George obtained 3 Master's Degrees: a Master's of Science from MIT working on 3D printing, a Master’s in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from Supelec, France and a Master's in Nanosciences from Paris XI University. Previously he worked as a visiting scientist at MIT in Bio-engineering for 2 years. George had 3 undergrad majors: Maths, Physics and Chemistry. His scientific career led to about 10 publications and patents.

• On the business side, Boston Business Journal has named me in the top 40 under 40 in 2012 in recognition of his business achievements.

• George is originally from Romania and grew up in Paris, France.

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